Normal Probability Calculator

Compute P(X < x), P(X > x), and P(x₀ < X < x₁) for a normal distribution

Overview

For a normally distributed random variable \( X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2) \), the probability of falling in an interval is the area under the density curve. This page provides three calculators: the probability that \( X \) lies in an interval \( (x_0, x_1) \), the probability that \( X < x_0 \), and the probability that \( X > x_0 \).

Probability Density and Integrals

The probability density function of normally distributed \( X \) with mean \( \mu \) and standard deviation \( \sigma \) is:

\[ f_X(x;\mu,\sigma) = \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\, e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}}, \quad x \in \mathbb{R} \]

Probability between \( x_0 \) and \( x_1 \)

\[ P(x_0 < X < x_1) = \int_{x_0}^{x_1} \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\, e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}}\, dx \]
Normal density curve with the area between x₀ and x₁ shaded
Figure 1 — \( P(x_0 < X < x_1) \) as the shaded area between \( x_0 \) and \( x_1 \).

Probability below \( x_0 \)

\[ P(X < x_0) = \int_{-\infty}^{x_0} \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\, e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}}\, dx \]
Normal density curve with the left-tail area below x₀ shaded
Figure 2 — \( P(X < x_0) \) as the shaded left-tail area.

Probability above \( x_0 \)

\[ P(X > x_0) = \int_{x_0}^{\infty} \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\, e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}}\, dx \]
Normal density curve with the right-tail area above x₀ shaded
Figure 3 — \( P(X > x_0) \) as the shaded right-tail area.

Numerical computation. These integrals have no elementary closed form, so they are computed numerically via the standard normal CDF \( \Phi(z) \). The standard-normal transformation is \( z = (x - \mu)/\sigma \), giving \( P(X < x_0) = \Phi(z_0) \), \( P(X > x_0) = 1 - \Phi(z_0) \), and \( P(x_0 < X < x_1) = \Phi(z_1) - \Phi(z_0) \).


Distribution Parameters

Enter the mean \( \mu \) and standard deviation \( \sigma > 0 \) used by all three calculators below.

1. Probability that \( X \) lies between two values

\( P(\) \( < X < \) \( ) \)

2. Probability that \( X < x_0 \)

\( P(X < \) \( ) \)

3. Probability that \( X > x_0 \)

\( P(X > \) \( ) \)

Cross-checks. The results satisfy \( P(X < x_0) + P(X > x_0) = 1 \) and \( P(x_0 < X < x_1) = P(X < x_1) - P(X < x_0) \). Use these identities to verify any answer.


Worked Example — Standard Normal

With \( \mu = 0 \), \( \sigma = 1 \), and default calculator values \( (x_0, x_1) = (0, 2) \):

View solution

Compute the z-scores:

\[ z_0 = \frac{0 - 0}{1} = 0, \qquad z_1 = \frac{2 - 0}{1} = 2 \]

Between:

\[ P(0 < X < 2) = \Phi(2) - \Phi(0) \approx 0.9772 - 0.5000 = 0.4772 \]

Below:

\[ P(X < 2) = \Phi(2) \approx 0.9772 \]

Above:

\[ P(X > 2) = 1 - \Phi(2) \approx 0.0228 \]

Cross-check: \( P(X < 2) + P(X > 2) = 0.9772 + 0.0228 = 1.0000 \) ✓


Practice Problems

Practice 1 — General normal

For \( X \sim N(50, 8^2) \), find \( P(X < 42) \).

Answer

\( z = (42 - 50)/8 = -1 \), so \( P(X < 42) = \Phi(-1) \approx 0.1587 \).

Practice 2 — Interval probability

For \( X \sim N(100, 15^2) \), find \( P(85 < X < 115) \).

Answer

\( z_0 = (85 - 100)/15 = -1 \), \( z_1 = (115 - 100)/15 = 1 \).

\[ P(-1 < Z < 1) = \Phi(1) - \Phi(-1) \approx 0.6827 \]

(This is the "68%" empirical rule for \( \mu \pm 1\sigma \).)

Practice 3 — Right tail

For \( X \sim N(70, 5^2) \), find \( P(X > 80) \).

Answer

\( z = (80 - 70)/5 = 2 \), so \( P(X > 80) = 1 - \Phi(2) \approx 0.0228 \).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the formula for the normal probability density?

\( f(x) = \dfrac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\, e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}} \) for \(x \in \mathbb{R}\). Probabilities of intervals are obtained by integrating this density over the interval.

How do I compute normal probabilities using the standard normal?

Standardize \(z = (x - \mu)/\sigma\), then use \(P(X < x_0) = \Phi(z_0)\), \(P(X > x_0) = 1 - \Phi(z_0)\), and \(P(x_0 < X < x_1) = \Phi(z_1) - \Phi(z_0)\).

Why can't the normal integral be computed in closed form?

The function \(e^{-x^2}\) has no elementary antiderivative. The standard normal CDF \( \Phi \) must be computed numerically — typically via a rational approximation (Abramowitz & Stegun 26.2.17) accurate to about \(7.5 \times 10^{-8}\).

What identities link the three normal probabilities?

\(P(X < x_0) + P(X > x_0) = 1\), and \(P(x_0 < X < x_1) = P(X < x_1) - P(X < x_0)\). Both follow directly from the area interpretations of the integrals.

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Last updated: October 20, 2026